Direct Hit After a Long Wait: Solar Storm Forecast 05-09-2019
May 9, 2019
This forecast generously sponsored by: 3ric Johanson: http://www.instagram.com/scubist Our Sun kicks things into high gear with two monster bright regions rotate into Earth view. They have been rapid firing solar storms and solar flares over the past week and finally one has been launched in the Earth-strike zone! According to models the storm will arrive on May 11! Aurora photographers should stay alert as we could see aurora dip down to mid-latitudes! Along with the solar storm, amateur and emergency radio operators are now enjoying a big bump in the solar flux that is boosting radio propagation back well into the marginal range. Although the bands will remain noisy with low level solar flares, radio propagation on Earth’s day side should continue to be decent over the next week or more! GPS reception might take a hit near the dawn-dusk terminators and also on the Earth’s night side during the solar storm, but overall, GPS reception should remain pretty decent. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, when and where aurora might be seen, and what else our Sun has in store this week! (Special credit this week: @HaloCME for his May 6 solar flare analysis: https://twitter.com/halocme/status/11…) Get early access to these forecasts & more at: http://patreon.com/SpaceWeatherWoman For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below. Solar Imaging and Analysis: SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/ Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest… Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat… GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra… SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/ Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/ GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan… GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/ LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch Solar Wind: DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea… ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace… NASA ENLIL SPIRAL: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem… NOAA ENLIL SPIRAL: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa… Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere: GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe… Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r… Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur… Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla… Wing Kp index prediction: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/win… USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/ USGS Disturbance Storm-Time (Dst): http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/dst/ NAIRAS Radiation Storm Model: http://sol.spacenvironment.net/raps_o… Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites: NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/ None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use. Images c/o NASA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, STEREO, CCMC, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.